Showing posts with label Megacities. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Megacities. Show all posts

2009/04/03

Publication Announcement Demographia World Urban Areas & Population Projections

This 5th comprehensive edition includes:

• Ranking of the largest world urban areas (over 2,000,000 population).

• Population, urban land area and density estimates for all 763 identified urban areas with more than 500,000 population, comprising 49 percent of the world urban population.

• Population, urban land area and density estimates for 1,370 urban areas of all sizes, comprising 53 percent of the world urban population.

• Population projections for the world’s largest urban areas in 2025 & 2030 (over 2,000,000 population).

• Summary of United Nations world population projections and summary by gross domestic product, purchasing power parity (from 4th Edition)

• Charts on urban density and prosperity (from 2nd Edition)

• Documentation

Demographia World Urban Areas & Population Projections: 5th Comprehensive Edition

2009/01/25

5th International Housing Affordability Survey Released

5th Annual Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey
265 Markets in 6 Nations

Dr. Shlomo Angel, of Princeton University and New York University, one of the world's leading experts in urban planning writes in the preface to this 5th Annual Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey that ...the current efforts to contain the pace of the outward expansion of cities for one reason or another are, at the very least, open to serious question. Referring to land use regulation, he continues: The more stringent the restrictions, the less is the housing market able to respond to increased demand, and the more likely house prices are to increase. And when residential land is very difficult to come by, housing becomes unaffordable., This report describes the economic connection between that "smart growth"/"urban consoldiation" policies (prescriptive land use policies) and the unprecedented house price escalation that has occured in recent years in some markets. Moreover, the consequences have expanded well beyond housing. Without prescriptive land use regulation, the housing bubble in the United States would have been less severe; without a severe housing bubble, the US mortgage meltdown would not have occurred and without the US mortgage meltdown, the international financial crisis might not have occurred. It will be important to reform land use policies to prevent similar damage from occuring in the future

Report:
http://www.demographia.com/dhi.pdf

INITIAL MONDAY PRESS COVERAGE FROM “DOWN UNDER” NEWSPAPERS

SYDNEY
http://www.smh.com.au/news/national/housing-severely-unaffordable/2009/01/25/1232818248039.html
PERTH
http://www.watoday.com.au/national/housing-prices-its-all-relative-20090125-7pgu.html
MELBOURNE
http://www.theage.com.au/national/housing-prices-its-all-relative-20090125-7pgu.html
AUCKLAND
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/property/news/article.cfm?c_id=8&objectid=10553540



Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey

2008/07/09

Ville de Paris to Allow Skyscrapers?

The ville de Paris government has decided to consider allowing skyscrapers, after a more than 30 year bad (precipitated by the Darth Vaderite Tour Montparnasse).

On one hand, such a move could, in the long run, seriously retard the attractiveness of Paris as a tourist site --- the city, especially the core, is itself a museum. On the other hand, allowing the building market to develop what the customer market seeks can only make the ville de Paris more competitive in its metropolitan region, the Ile-de-France. The ville de Paris has taken serious losses in employment in the last two decades, as companies have increasingly moved or been established in the suburbs.

However, Paris will continue to have a serious competitive disadvantage with the artificial traffic constraints that have made parts of the ville a recurring traffic jam, as traffic lanes have been taken from general traffic use, in favor of buses, which have seen virtually no material increase in ridership.

High Rises in the Ville de Paris?

2008/04/06

More than 90% of Metropolitan Growth in Suburbs

A Demographia analysis of city and suburban population trends shows that the move to the suburbs continues. Between 2000 and 2006, more than 90 percent of large metropolitan growth was in the suburbs. This continues a trend that has been underway for at least 50 years and is considerably at odds with wishful thinking often to be found in the establishment press, which all too often substitutes anecdote for analysis.

Data.

Note: This report defines a single historical core city for each metropolitan area (thus, Norfolk is used in the Virginia Beach-Norfolk metropolitan area).

2008/02/29

WSJ on Cars and Japan: Myth and Reality

The sky will open, the light will come down, celestial choirs will be singing and everyone will know we should do the right thing and the world will be perfect. By this time, everyone knows that these are the words of US presidential candidate Hillary Clinton mocking the rhetoric of her rival, Senator Barack Obama.

But the words might as well have been in this morning’s Wall Street Journal article on the demise of the car in Japan Japan’s Young Won’t Rally Round the Car. Doubtless the smart growth, anti-automobile and anti-mobility choirs are already in rehearsal. We will soon hear that, if Japan can travel less by car, only a simple attitude change will be required to end the fabled “love affair” with the automobile in the United States (and Western Europe, where the love is even greater, given the cost of using cars there).

The Journal reports that car sales are down in Japan and implies that more people are riding public transport. The article makes the all-too-frequent mistake of using a couple of facts and combining them with out of context ad hoc cases to develop a story line. The result is a fairy tale.

Let’s look at the facts. From 1990 to 2004, according to data published by the Japan Statistics Bureau, per capita car travel in Japan rose 26 percent, almost as much as the 29 percent gain in the United States. By no means has there been an abandonment of the car in Japan. The overall car travel market share rose 22 percent from 1990 to 2004. At the same time, the public transport modes of rail and bus both loss approximately one-quarter of their market share. One public transport mode did very well --- the airlines increased their market share by nearly half. This data is posted on the Demographia website.

Choir practice has been cancelled.

2008/01/10

Lowering the Toll on the Road to Prosperity

Congratulations to Tata of India and its chairman Ratan Tata on the unveiling of their new $2,500 Nano, a small car aimed at reducing the poverty of India and elsewhere by expanding personal mobility. Their important step forward has brought competitive responses from other auto makers, which intend to develop lower cost vehicles.

The connection between affluence and personal mobility is well established. Those who would stand in the way of Indians getting cars (or Chinese, Indonesians or Nigerians) may as well take to the streets to demonstrate for expanding poverty.

The Nano will get 50 miles to the gallon, meaning that it will produce lower greenhouse gas emissions than public transport (transit) per passenger mile in the United States.

U.N. climate scientist Rajendra Pachauri, who shared last year's Nobel Peace Prize, indicated that he was “having nightmares" about the car. One wonders if his nightmares might be different if he lived in Mumbai’s Dharavi slum or one of the many other slums or substandard residential areas that are all too numerous in the developing world.

There is a good reason that it is called the ROAD to prosperity.

2007/12/03

Rental Car Tour: Manila: Rich and Poor

It is always preferable to end the first visit with some affection for an urban area and even a desire to stay longer. This is the feeling that I have had in leaving most urban areas. In only one case was no affection developed for the urban area, which is described in the Kolkata Rental Car Tour. In others, an attraction developed, but there was no reluctance to leave, such as in Mumbai. Manila is in the majority --- an affection was developed and I would have preferred to stay longer.

Arriving at Manila’s Nonoy Aquino International Airport evokes a sense of history more than most. The airport is named for Benigno (Nonoy) Aquino, the opposition leader who was assassinated at the airport upon his return to the Philippines in 1983. Events led eventually to stolen election (by President Ferdinand Marcos), his deposition, a peaceful revolution and the installation of Corazon Aquino, wife of Nonoy Aquino as president of the Philippines. The main thoroughfare of the urban area, EDSA (below) was the site of this peaceful revolution and another in 2001.

More, with 150 photos

2007/11/21

Update on the URBAN TOURS BY RENTAL CAR Website

Our first Rental Car Tour --- on Sao Paulo --- was posted in September 2003 to the demographia.com website. A few months later, the rentalcartours.net website was established. In the intervening years, nearly 100 rental car tours have been posted.

The Rental Car Tours have attracted nearly 650,000 downloads since the beginning. The most popular have been (through 31 October):

49,800 – Mexico City
41,200 – Hong Kong
39,800 – Rio de Janiero
33,800 – Sao Paulo
25,200 – Miami
19,600 – Tokyo
18,600 - Paris
18,300 – London
17,100 – Toronto
16,800 – Montreal
15,900 – Curitiba
14,500 – Buenos Aires
14,100 – Cairo
13,700 – St. Louis
13,400 – South Bronx (New York)
12,900 – Mumbai
12,300 – Shenzhen
11,700 – Shanghai
10,700 – Seoul
10,700 – Rhine-Ruhr-Wupper (Essen-Dusseldorf)
10,300 – Guiangzhou

Since individual Rental Car Tours have been posted anywhere from more than four years ago to this last weekend, a better measure is the monthy volume. The most popular Rental Car Tours in monthly volume are:

1,173 – Mumbai
1,159 – Hong Kong
1,066 – Mexico City
829 - Cairo
794 – Rio de Janeiro
690 – Sao Paulo
650 – Chengdu
614 – Los Angeles
588 – Manila
535 – Shenzhen
525 – Miami
500 – Trans Andes Highway

The Trans Andes Highway Rental Car Tour, posted in October, has proven very popular. The partial November data already shows 1,000 downloads.

Statistics are available for all Rental Car Tours.

A new geographical index has been added to the site.

Thank you to all who have downloaded these articles.

Wendell Cox
20 November 2007